More hurricanes predicted in '16

Forecasters disagree on number of storms but agree it is likely to be a busy Atlantic hurricane season.

June 2, 2016


Of five predicted Atlantic hurricanes this year, two may strong according to Colorado State University's annual forecast. The U.S. coast has a 50-50 chance of being hit this year, according to Phil Klotzbach, of the team that developed the predictions.

"As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them," Klotzbach told the Bloomberg News Service.

Counting to the two tropical systems that formed prior to the official start of the June to November Hurricane season, if the prediction holds, the total number of storms will be slightly above average this year.

Colorado State's predictions are lower than the number of storms suggested by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center. NOAA has said four to eight of as many as 16 tropical storms could become major hurricanes.

Both teams of forecasters agreed the that a weakening El Niņo in the Pacific Ocean will probably make conditions in the Atlantic more likely for tropical storms and hurricanes. The Gulf Stream, which contributes the the strength of tropical storms, is already much warmer than usual for this time of year.


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