Weather conditions over southern Baja California, Mexico, were expected to deteriorate Tuesday as Hurricane Paul raced toward land, forecasters said.
Paul, a Category 2 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph, was about 200 miles south of Cabo San Lazaro, Mexico, moving north-northeast at 20 mph, the National Hurricane Center in Miami said in its 5 a.m. EDT advisory.
A hurricane warning was in effect for the west coast of Baja California from Santa Fe north to Punta Abreojos.
A tropical storm warning was in effect from the west coast of Baja California north of Punta Abreojos to El Pocito, and south of Santa Fe to Agua Blanca, and on the east coast of Baja California from La Pax to Bahia San Juan Bautisa.
A tropical storm watch was in effect for the west coast of Baja California north of El Pocito to Punta Eugenia.
Paul is expected to maintain its general northeast motion then shift to the north Tuesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Paul should be near or over the west coast of Baja California Tuesday night, forecasters said
The storm is expected to move northwestward Wednesday.
Some weakening is forecast, but Paul is expected to maintain hurricane strength when it is near or over the west coast of Baja California. The hurricane is expected to weaken to a tropical storm as it moves over Baja California Wednesday, the hurricane center said.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward from center as much as 30 miles and tropical storm-force winds extended outward as far as 115 mph.
Paul is expected to produce 2-4 inches of rain over the southern Baja Peninsula, with as much as 8 inches possible in isolated areas. The rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding along the coast of southern and central Baja California.
Swells generated by Paul will affect the west coast of Baja California for the next several days. The swells likely may cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
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